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Nasdaq Breakout Idea (VINO) Keeps Churning, Up Approximately 17% And Could Just Be Getting Started
Stonegate Capital Partners Provides Price Target Between $5.50 And $7.75
May 19th
Greetings Readers,
Let me get straight to it. VINO is starting to pick up the pace.
Hitting a new high of $1.34 today, VINO is up approximately 17% and may just be getting started today.
As I've pointed out a couple times now, Yahoo Finance is reporting fewer than 11Mn shares in its float. That means volatility can be in the cards on a daily basis.
Additionally, VINO is now trading above 3 key lines of potential support including its:
- 5-Day Simple Moving Average (SMA)
- 5-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
- 13-Day EMA
If potential support grows at those levels today, it could act as building blocks towards near term vertical growth.
Plus, it's not too far off from its 20 Day SMA. If potential resistance breaks down there, it could draw serious attention to VINO this morning.
Take a second now and read my initial VINO report and get this profile on your radar quickly.
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*Gaucho Group Holdings, Inc. (VINO)*
Gaucho Group Holdings, Inc. is a rapidly growing, e-commerce driven holding company, with a concentration on luxury real estate, leather goods and accessories, and using fine wines as their ambassador.
The company owns and operates Algodon Mansion, a luxury boutique hotel in Buenos Aires; and Algodon Wine Estates, a winery and golf resort with tennis courts, dining, and hotel amenities in Mendoza, which includes a subdivided property for a luxury residential vineyard development. They also distribute and sell high-end luxury leather goods and accessories through an e-commerce platform.
And right now, the company has 5 potential catalysts to know immediately. Here are the key details:
No. 1 - A Low Float Could Deliver Volatility
No. 2 - Analyst Price Target Range Of $5.50 to $7.75
No. 3 - Revenue And Pro-fit Growth In Q4 Could Be Sign Of Things To Come
No. 4 - Southern Glazer's Adds Algodon Fine Wines To Portfolio
No. 5 - Masterplan Approval Arrives For Luxury Wine & Wellness Development
But more on those in a second...
Gaucho Group Holdings, Inc. (VINO): The Quest to Become the LVMH (“Louis Vuitton Moet Hennessy”) of South America
Why LVMH? Why not? Their business model is extraordinarily successful. The company is in-vest-ed in all luxury goods, particularly experiential luxury goods. As well they are also into wines and spirits. And of course, hotels and restaurants. They bought the Cipriani chain and own the Orient Express and the train service as well.
As of May 18, 2022, LVMH market cap stands at an impressive $308Bn.
VINO’s Ever-expanding Luxury Brands
Gaucho - Buenos Aires
Drawing on the cosmopolitan vibe of Buenos Aires and the spirit of traditional gaucho culture, Gaucho – Buenos Aires (www.gaucho.com) is a new destination for luxury ready-to-wear and leather accessories.
Weaving artisan techniques and materials into innovative contemporary designs, the brand is gaining traction as an emerging designer to watch.
The company also recently launched its home and living décor collection, Gaucho Casa, which challenges traditional lifestyle collections with its luxury textiles and home accessories rooted in the singular spirit of the gaucho aesthetic.
Gaucho – Buenos Aires and Gaucho Casa embody the spirit of Argentina – its grand history, and its revival as a global center of luxury. Inspired by the sophisticated elegance of the great European maisons, Gaucho – Buenos Aires is rooted in the traditions of Argentine culture. With its ambitious ready-to-wear collection, timeless leather goods, and luxury home items, this is the brand in which Argentine luxury finds its contemporary expression.
Algodon Fine Wines
Algodon Wine Estates is a boutique Mendoza winery located in the beautiful foothills of the Sierra Pintadas, in the southernmost region of Argentina’s wine capital.
These premium wines are currently available throughout the U.S., and in distinguished wine bars, wine shops, restaurants and hotels in Buenos Aires and Mendoza.
Algodon Wine’s U.K. distributor currently has vendors in Germany, Switzerland, Guernsey, U.K., and the Netherlands.
Algodon Mansion
In Buenos Aires, Algodon Mansion is the company’s luxury boutique hotel that caters to celebrities, sports stars, politicians, and other high-profile individuals, as well as consumers with high end tastes who want the very best. This 1912 landmark building’s architecture is fashioned in French Classical design and has been impeccably restored yet re-imagined with inspired contemporary elegance and sophistication.
It boasts luxury suites that offer the most exclusive comforts in design, technology, and amenities, located in the heart of the elegant Recoleta district.
Algodon Wine Estates
Back in the wine capital of Mendoza, wine lovers can buy Argentina vineyard real estate at Algodon Wine Estates, nestled in scenic wine country and featuring championship golf, tennis, polo, and access to world-class skiing and more.
Algodon Wine Estates is a 4,138 acre (1,675 ha) real estate development, golf resort and wine hotel in San Rafael, Mendoza, Argentina. This is something you have to see to believe.
Algodon Wine Estates - Wellness Resort
Located in San Rafael, Mendoza, Argentina, this 4,138-acre vineyard estate has an impressive lineage and features structures that date back to 1921. Situated on Argentina’s wine route, guests enjoy internationally award-wi-nn-ing lodging, vineyard and winery tours, and an award-wi-nn-ing restaurant, as well as championship tennis, 18 holes of golf that literally play through vineyards, 70-year-old olive groves, and fruit orchards.
More from the company website here.
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This moment, VINO has several potential catalysts to be aware of. Check them out:
No. 1 VINO Potential Catalyst - A Low Float Could Deliver Volatility
According to the Yahoo Finance website, VINO has a low float.
The website reports this profile to have approximately 10.54Mn shares in its float.
Why is that important? It's important on one crucial level. Volatility.
With so few shares available for trading, other potential catalysts (like big news) could spark a vertical move in the short-term.
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No. 2 VINO Potential Catalyst - Analyst Price Target Range Of $5.50 to $7.75
To round out 2021, analyst Marco Rodriguez of Stonegate Capital Partners tagged VINO with a target between $5.50 and $7.75.
This gives VINO over 350% potential upside from its closing valuation on Wednesday.
Here's a highlight from the report:
VALUATION
While part of the Company’s strategy involves expanding and accelerating its ecommerce presence, the real-estate lot sales are likely the most immediate revenue drivers. As stated, the Company’s goal is to sell 20 lots per quarter on its Wine Estates property at an average price of US$200k each. We are using these lot sales to generate a total revenue projection at a future point in time and discounting this value back to today. Additionally, we understand that the lot sales will be done over the period of time we are forecasting (not at the end of period) but are trying to make a simplifying assumption to generate a total potential value. Below are various assumptions we use to drive our valuation range.
- A total of 850 lots for sale of which, 350 are currently available.
- We assume it will take 4-5 years to completely sell all 350 current lots. Using Gaucho’s lot sale guidance, we assume lot sales of 20 per quarter to drive the timeline.
- The 500 new lots will take 1-2 years to develop and an additional 6-7 years to sell using the same 20 lot sales per quarter.
- New 500 lots will require ~ $10M in capital to develop. We assume Gaucho uses a 50/50 mix of equity and debt to raise the necessary capital. We use today’s share price to drive additional shares outstanding.
- Each lot is sold for US$200k, per management’s lot sales guidance.
- We assume the Company can generate a 15% EBITDA margin. The Company hasn’t defined what margins it can produce, so we use various comparison companies and their respective historical margins to help drive our expected EBITDA margin.
- We use an EV/EBITDA range of 10.0x to 14.0x, which is in-line with comps out-years multiples and historical multiples.
- We are using a 25% discount rate to drive our present value. We believe the rate is reasonable give the considerable number of assumptions we are making, the timeline we are projecting, and all risks associated with developing property, and operating in a foreign country.
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No. 3 VINO Potential Catalyst - Revenue And Pro-fit Growth In Q4 Could Be Sign Of Things To Come
Gaucho Group Holdings, Inc. Announces 2021 Fiscal Year Fin-an-cial Results
Algodon Wine Estates Lot Sales Drive Revenues to $4.9Mn from $636k in Prior Year
MIAMI, FL / ACCESSWIRE / April 14, 2022 / Gaucho Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:VINO), a company that includes a growing collection of e-commerce platforms with a concentration on fine wines, luxury real estate, and leather goods and accessories (the "Company" or "Gaucho Holdings"), today announced fin-an-cial results for the fourth quarter and audited fiscal year periods ending December 31, 2021. In-vest-ors are encouraged to read the Company's annual report Form 10-K as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"), which contains additional information and will be posted at ir.gauchoholdings.com/sec-filings/all-sec-filings
Fin-an-cial Highlights
- Revenues for the fourth quarter were $1.7Mn compared to $162k in the prior year's period. Full year revenues were $4.9Mn compared to $636k in the prior year. The increase in revenue in both periods were driven primarily by an increase in the sa-les of real estate lots.
- Gross pro-fit for the fourth quarter was $1.1Mn compared to $6k in the prior year's period. Full year pro-fit was $3.7Mn, compared to a gross loss of $91k in the prior year.
- Net loss narrowed to $2.3Mn from a loss of $5.7Mn in 2021.
- As of December 31, 2021, the Company had $3.6Mn of cash and cash equivalents.
Commenting on the results, Scott Mathis, Chief Executive Officer of Gaucho Holdings, stated, "We are delighted to end 2021 on a strong note, particularly with respect to growing in-vest-or interest in our luxury Algodon Wine Estates in Mendoza, Argentina. Like so many other companies across the globe, the CV-19 pandemic had a profound impact on our operations, including our Argentina operations, which were especially impacted due to international travel restrictions that lasted until November. Despite this, we still generated more than $4.1Mn in revenue from the sale of lots at Algodon Wine Estates in Mendoza, Argentina. We are anticipating being able to recognize revenue for additional lot sales in 2022, and as the world continues to rebound from the pandemic, we are optimistic that we may continue to see meaningful growth there."
We continue to build on many of the foundational elements we announced throughout 2021. In December, we unveiled the newly revised master plan for Algodon Wine Estates. This new plan includes the development of an additional 200 lots (in addition to the estate's exiting 350 lots), which could ultimately contribute to upwards of $100Mn in revenue. As we've previously noted, the centerpiece of the new master plan is expected to be an ultra-luxury 80-room hotel, that will also include 40-60 residences, for which Algodon Wine Estates seeks to co-develop with a world class luxury hospitality brand. Additionally, we made significant in-vest-ments in our Las Vegas project to further expand opp's in lodging, hospitality, retail and gaming, and we look forward to further announcements on this project as the year progresses. We also continue to make progress towards the opening of our fashion and leather accessories brand's U.S. flagship retail location in Miami's Design District.
Since the start of the new year, Gaucho - Buenos Aires™ has launched new statement pieces and leather accessories, launched our home and living collection, Gaucho Casa, welcomed a new Director of Design, Lautaro Garcia de la Peña, and debuted its Fall 2022 collection during New York Fashion Week. We continue to move forward on each of these fronts, and more, and we look forward to an exciting 2022 and beyond."
Read the full article here.
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No. 4 VINO Potential Catalyst - Southern Glazer's Adds Algodon Fine Wines To Portfolio
Algodon Fine Wines Added to Southern Glazer’s Wines and Spirits Portfolio
Argentine Wine Brand Continues U.S. Rollout of Its Wines With Distribution in the State of Florida
MIAMI, FL / ACCESSWIRE / APRIL 19, 2022 / Gaucho Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:VINO), a company that includes a growing collection of e-commerce platforms with a concentration on fine wines, luxury real estate, and leather goods & accessories, today announced the addition of Southern Glazer's Wines and Spirits to their wine distribution network of Algodon Fine Wines.
Southern Glazer's Wines and Spirits' Signature Luxury Wine & Spirits Division is a distribution platform designed to introduce hand-picked and curated fine wines to their customer base.
"We're thrilled to announce this addition to our ambassador initiative for Algodon's further wine distribution in the United States," said Scott Mathis, Algodon Fine Wine's CEO & Chairman. "Southern Glazer's is a highly respected distribution network with a curated collection of excellent products. Our team is very excited about this new initiative and what it means to Algodon Fine Wine's reach and sales, as we continue to grow our brand."
Southern Glazer's is the latest addition to the distinct network of Algodon Fine Wines retailers and distributors; including Seaview Distribution NY, 3J Imports NJ, Vinporter E-Commerce, Sherry-Lehmann NY, Spec's TX, Le Boutellier CA, The Noble Grape IL, as well as Vivino E-Commerce.
Read the full article here.
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No. 5 VINO Potential Catalyst - Masterplan Approval Arrives For Luxury Wine & Wellness Development
Gaucho Group Holdings, Inc. Receives Approval for Masterplan for Algodon Wine Estates’ 4,138 Acre Luxury Wine & Wellness Development in Mendoza, Argentina
Masterplan Includes 80-Room Ultra Luxury Hotel, 40 Branded Residences and 200 Additional Lots
NEW YORK, NY / ACCESSWIRE / February 9, 2022 / Gaucho Group Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:VINO), a company that includes a growing collection of e-commerce platforms with a concentration on fine wines, luxury real estate, and leather goods and accessories, today announced it received official approval from the Municipality of San Rafael of the masterplan for its Algodon Wine Estates, a 4,138 acre wine, wellness, culinary and sport resort and luxury residential development, in San Rafael, Mendoza, Argentina.
As previously announced, this stage of the masterplan was designed by the architectural planning and design firm EDSA, whose work spans more than 5,000 projects in over 100 countries. EDSA's vision for Algodon Wine Estates includes further building upon the estate's award-wi-nn-ing vineyard development by emphasizing the existing winery and 1946 vines, the local Mendocino culture, as well as the estate's existing terrain, amenities, and features.
The masterplan includes development of an additional 200 lots, ranging in size from 2.47 acres to 12 acres. The company anticipates sales of these additional lots could ultimately generate more than $100Mn in revenues. The centerpiece of the masterplan is an ultra-luxury 80-room hotel, that will also include 40-60 residences, for which Algodon Wine Estates seeks to co-develop with a world class luxury hospitality brand. The revenue potential from the hotel rooms and branded residences could generate an additional $25Mn per year.
The expanded masterplan includes a 27-hole championship-style golf course, championship-style tennis facilities, centralized village center and sports club, and an equestrian facility that will include a horse riding and training center. Additional highlights from the plan include an organic farming area, as well as organic fruit orchards, a boutique distillery, organic/seasonal restaurants, lavender and rose gardens, as well as various hiking, mountain biking, and walking trails that connect the social and residential areas throughout the estate.
Commenting on the approval of masterplan, Scott Mathis, Chief Executive Officer of Gaucho Holdings stated, "This is an extremely exciting development in the evolution of Gaucho Holdings. The potential revenue generation from the sales of these lots will be a key element in the execution of our business plan, and it's important to know that even after the company sells all the lots accounted for in the masterplan, the company will still retain more than 2000 acres of prime real estate. It's equally important to know that approval to proceed with development is not just a meaningful step for Gaucho, but an important building block for our friends and neighbors in the Mendoza region. Further development brings in new jobs and raises prosperity, and we look forward to working with our community partners and bringing value to our shareholders."
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Read the full article here.
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VINO Recap - 5 Potential Catalysts For Your New Nasdaq Profile
No. 1 - A Low Float Could Deliver Volatility
No. 2 - Analyst Price Target Range Of $5.50 to $7.75
No. 3 - Revenue And Pro-fit Growth In Q4 Could Be Sign Of Things To Come
No. 4 - Southern Glazer's Adds Algodon Fine Wines To Portfolio
No. 5 - Masterplan Approval Arrives For Luxury Wine & Wellness Development
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Coverage is officially initiated on VINO. When you have time later, do this: